An investigation of recent sudden mortality of balsam fir in Eastern North America: Climate, stand and site drivers of mortality

dc.contributor.advisorD’Orangeville, Loïc
dc.contributor.authorBroom, James
dc.date.accessioned2023-11-14T17:20:19Z
dc.date.available2023-11-14T17:20:19Z
dc.date.issued2023-06
dc.description.abstractIn 2018, a widespread, balsam fir mortality event occurred across the species southern range limit. The purpose of this thesis was to determine the role of climate and local factors as drivers of mortality in Atlantic Canada. A Random Forest model associated a combination of climate anomalies with mortality, notably a summer drought in the previous year. This model was able to predict a similar event that occurred in 1986 with a remarkable accuracy of 95% (kappa = 0.88). Looking at local factors, I find that sites associated with elevated temperatures (i.e., lower elevations and south facing aspects), higher competition for water and taller trees display higher mortality risks. Mortality probability was also associated with low depth to water values with minimal influence observed for drainage and slope variables. This research highlights the vulnerability of balsam fir to drought induced mortality.
dc.description.copyright© James Broom, 2023
dc.format.extentix, 143
dc.format.mediumelectronic
dc.identifier.oclc(OCoLC)1426855984en
dc.identifier.otherThesis 11220en
dc.identifier.urihttps://unbscholar.lib.unb.ca/handle/1882/37546
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherUniversity of New Brunswick
dc.rightshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.subject.disciplineForestry and Environmental Management
dc.subject.lcshBalsam fir--Mortality.en
dc.subject.lcshBalsam fir--Effect of drought on--Atlantic Provinces.en
dc.subject.lcshBalsam fir--Atlantic Provinces--Forecasting.en
dc.subject.lcshAtlantic Provinces.en
dc.titleAn investigation of recent sudden mortality of balsam fir in Eastern North America: Climate, stand and site drivers of mortality
dc.typemaster thesis
oaire.license.conditionother
thesis.degree.disciplineForestry and Environmental Management
thesis.degree.grantorUniversity of New Brunswick
thesis.degree.levelmasters
thesis.degree.nameM.Sc.F.

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