Economics of early intervention to suppress a potential spruce budworm outbreak in New Brunswick, Canada

dc.contributor.advisorLantz, Van
dc.contributor.advisorMacLean, David
dc.contributor.authorLui, Eric Ye
dc.date.accessioned2023-03-01T16:37:17Z
dc.date.available2023-03-01T16:37:17Z
dc.date.issued2018
dc.date.updated2023-03-01T15:02:52Z
dc.description.abstractSpruce budworm (Choristoneura fumiferana Clem.) (SBW) outbreak is the most prominent natural disturbance in eastern Canada. Recently, an early intervention strategy (EIS) has been developed against SBW outbreaks in New Brunswick (NB). In this study, a Spruce Budworm Decision Support System (SBW DSS) was coupled with a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model to assess the impacts of forest protection strategies in NB. The results demonstrated that a future SBW outbreak would reduce up to $35.31 billion of NB current value total domestic output. Regarding the efficacy of forest protection strategies, the EIS was predicted to be the most cost-effective and economically efficient. In contrast, if a future SBW outbreak exits, the EIS Fails & Reactive Strategy was anticipated to be more beneficial than the traditional Reactive Strategy. Overall, these results support the continued use of EIS as the most preferred strategy on economic grounds to protect against SBW outbreaks in NB. Abbreviations: SBW, spruce budworm; GDP, gross domestic production; Btk, Bacillus thuringiensis Kurstaki; NB, New Brunswick; EIS, early intervention strategy; SBW DSS, spruce budworm decision support system; GIS, geographic information system; BCA, benefit-cost analysis; CGE, computable general equilibrium; WS, white spruce; RS, red spruce; BS, black spruce; BF, balsam fir; CES, constant elasticity of substitution; CET, constant elasticity of transformation; WTP, willingness to pay; CVM, contingent valuation method; BCR, benefit-cost ratio; NPV, net present value.
dc.description.copyright© Eric Ye Liu (2019)
dc.formattext/xml
dc.format.extentvi, 65 pages
dc.format.mediumelectronic
dc.identifier.urihttps://unbscholar.lib.unb.ca/handle/1882/14219
dc.language.isoen_CA
dc.publisherUniversity of New Brunswick
dc.rightshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.subject.disciplineForestry and Environmental Management
dc.titleEconomics of early intervention to suppress a potential spruce budworm outbreak in New Brunswick, Canada
dc.typemaster thesis
thesis.degree.disciplineForestry and Environmental Management
thesis.degree.fullnameMaster of Science in Forestry
thesis.degree.grantorUniversity of New Brunswick
thesis.degree.levelmasters
thesis.degree.nameM.F.

Files

Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Name:
item.pdf
Size:
940.31 KB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format