Evolutionary dynamics of precipitation in Atlantic Canada

dc.contributor.advisorYevdokimov, Yuri
dc.contributor.authorKosenchuk, Sergiy
dc.date.accessioned2023-03-01T16:37:05Z
dc.date.available2023-03-01T16:37:05Z
dc.date.issued2015
dc.date.updated2016-04-06T00:00:00Z
dc.description.abstractWe model long run dynamics of precipitation at five transportation hubs in Atlantic Canada. In doing so, we designed methodology and applied it to twelve precipitation time series – six rainfall series and six snowfall series. Eleven out of twelve time series were estimated with OLS, and only Saint John rainfall series was estimated with GLM to deal with non-normal distribution of error terms. Based on our methodology and estimation, we detected that four precipitation series do not contain significant time trends over the latest period: Three of them are rainfall series with one snowfall series. Six out of remaining eight precipitation series do contain significant time trends that started in 1950s-1960s or 1980s. Moreover, we have similar trends of -3 mm per year in three snowfall series. All of them have started in 1950s-1960s. This result directly points towards potential climate change in the region and supports the conclusion of many climatologists of less snow in Atlantic Canada due to climate change. In general, our estimation showed that snowfall series are more deterministic, and they exhibit negative trends. Rainfall series are less predictable exhibiting either negative or positive trend.
dc.description.copyright© Sergiy Kosenchuk, 2015
dc.description.noteA Report Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Arts in Economics in the Graduate Academic Unit of Department of Economics
dc.formattext/xml
dc.format.extentviii, 67 pages
dc.format.mediumelectronic
dc.identifier.urihttps://unbscholar.lib.unb.ca/handle/1882/14213
dc.language.isoen_CA
dc.publisherUniversity of New Brunswick
dc.rightshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.subject.disciplineEconomics
dc.titleEvolutionary dynamics of precipitation in Atlantic Canada
dc.typemaster thesis
thesis.degree.disciplineEconomics
thesis.degree.fullnameMaster of Arts
thesis.degree.grantorUniversity of New Brunswick
thesis.degree.levelmasters
thesis.degree.nameM.A.

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