Dynamic contagion spread modelling over emergent spatio-temporal contact networks

dc.contributor.advisorRay, Suprio
dc.contributor.advisorSeahra, Sanjeev
dc.contributor.authorMistry, Avinaba
dc.date.accessioned2023-11-02T19:08:26Z
dc.date.available2023-11-02T19:08:26Z
dc.date.issued2022-12
dc.description.abstractAnalysis, prediction and decision support for contagion spread and its associated risk with Ordinary Differential Equation models proved to be challenging in terms of incorporating the underlying heterogeneity of emergent spatio-temporal contact networks of the moving objects. These models reduce the granularity and scope of analysis of possible pharmacological and non-pharmacological intervention measures. To address these limitations, we propose to aggregate population level dynamics by modelling individual-level interactions. To that end, first we introduce an individual level agent-based stochastic contagion simulation modelling framework as a possible solution for adapting to rapidly changing parameters of a contagion including SARS-CoV-2. Second, we propose a spatio-temporal index to extract contact networks from distributed real-world mobility data stores. The framework has been implemented declaratively in R and functionally in Julia and the spatio-temporal index in Python. We conduct thorough experimental evaluation to show the viability and applicability of the proposed approaches.
dc.description.copyright© Avinaba Mistry, 2022
dc.format.extentxvii, 132
dc.format.mediumelectronic
dc.identifier.oclc(OCoLC)1426853109en
dc.identifier.otherThesis 11261en
dc.identifier.urihttps://unbscholar.lib.unb.ca/handle/1882/37522
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherUniversity of New Brunswick
dc.relationMITACS
dc.relationThe Black Arcs
dc.rightshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.subject.disciplineComputer Science
dc.subject.lcshBiomathematics.en
dc.subject.lcshContagious distributions.en
dc.subject.lcshComputer simulation.en
dc.titleDynamic contagion spread modelling over emergent spatio-temporal contact networks
dc.typemaster thesis
oaire.license.conditionother
thesis.degree.disciplineComputer Science
thesis.degree.grantorUniversity of New Brunswick
thesis.degree.levelmasters
thesis.degree.nameM.C.S.

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