Where is all the talent? A study of the migratory patterns of post-secondary graduates in New Brunswick
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Date
2013
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University of New Brunswick
Abstract
The migration of human capital impacts several aspects of the demographic
composition of the Canadian Provinces. Moreover, provinces such as New
Brunswick are particularly impacted by the interprovincial migration of recent postsecondary
graduates, because due to a high dependency ratio and out-migration rates,
the retention of human capital is a core component for economic stability and growth.
This paper explores the key demographic factors (i.e., age, sex, marital status) that
has been shown to impact migration, along with the specific 'type' of human capital
recent post-secondary graduates acquire ( e.g., field of study), in order to determine
the foundational components of migration in New Brunswick. By using the Maritime
Provinces Higher Education Commission's Graduate Survey on 2007 post-secondary
graduates, logistic regression results indicate that recent graduates with degrees in the
Arts and Engineering are most likely to leave after completing their degree.
Conversely, graduates with degrees that match current labour market demand (i.e.,
Education and Health) tend to remain in the region. The out-migration of human
capital in New Brunswick is highest among young, skilled graduates and is
influenced by international and interprovincial migration and current regional labour
market demands.